TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 5:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tin Chen and Markus Malaszszak in the M15 Tanagura, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tin Chen' if Tin Chen advances against Markus Malaszszak. This market will resolve to 'Markus Malaszszak' if Markus Malaszszak advances against Tin Chen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tin Chen and Markus Malaszszak in the M15 Tanagura, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tin Chen' if Tin Chen advances against Markus Malaszszak. This market will resolve to 'Markus Malaszszak' if Markus Malaszszak advances against Tin Chen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a fighter, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially when there's inside information or a strong community consensus.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome in the Tanagura MMA match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium point where buyers and sellers agree on the fair value. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of the traders participating.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tanagura MMA match between Tin Chen and Markus Malaszszak, as declared by the event organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or unexpected announcements about the fight could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public statements from the fighters themselves, analysis from MMA experts, and even betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks can all act as catalysts. A large volume of trades in a short period, driven by a specific piece of information, could also cause a noticeable price movement. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market.