TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 3:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Linley and masaki ishikawa in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Linley' if Thomas Linley advances against masaki ishikawa. This market will resolve to 'masaki ishikawa' if masaki ishikawa advances against Thomas Linley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Linley and masaki ishikawa in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Linley' if Thomas Linley advances against masaki ishikawa. This market will resolve to 'masaki ishikawa' if masaki ishikawa advances against Thomas Linley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment. The current price indicates the collective forecast for the Tanagura tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tanagura tennis match between Thomas Linley and masaki ishikawa, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will not.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports, recent match results, or changes in coaching staff, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location might also play a role, potentially favoring one player's style of play over another. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself could create momentum and influence the price of shares. Public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts could also contribute to market movements.