TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
M15 Tanagura: TAKUMI KATSUDA vs Kentaro Otsuka
polymarket

What is the result of TAKUMI KATSUDA vs Kentaro Otsuka?

Volume:
N/A

M15 Tanagura: TAKUMI KATSUDA vs Kentaro Otsuka

 - Polymarket

M15 Tanagura: TAKUMI KATSUDA vs Kentaro Otsuka - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 5:51 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

M15 Tanagura: TAKUMI KATSUDA vs Kentaro Otsuka

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Tanagura: TAKUMI KATSUDA vs Kentaro Otsuka Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M15 Tanagura: TAKUMI KATSUDA vs Kentaro Otsuka Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between TAKUMI KATSUDA and Kentaro Otsuka in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'TAKUMI KATSUDA' if TAKUMI KATSUDA advances against Kentaro Otsuka. This market will resolve to 'Kentaro Otsuka' if Kentaro Otsuka advances against TAKUMI KATSUDA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between TAKUMI KATSUDA and Kentaro Otsuka in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'TAKUMI KATSUDA' if TAKUMI KATSUDA advances against Kentaro Otsuka. This market will resolve to 'Kentaro Otsuka' if Kentaro Otsuka advances against TAKUMI KATSUDA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets, like Polymarket, aim to represent the true probability as assessed by traders. Therefore, this market may reflect different information or weighting of factors than those considered by sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions on fighter form, potential strategies, or even public biases. Analyzing both sources can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential outcome.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, creating a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. This ensures the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the event organizers. The fighter who is declared the winner of the Tanagura MMA fight will determine the outcome of this market. Any official decision, including a knockout, technical knockout, submission, or decision by the judges, will be considered for resolution. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the outcome is officially verified.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about fighter weight or health status would likely cause price fluctuations. Additionally, analysis from MMA experts or changes in public perception of each fighter’s chances could influence trading activity. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning has the potential to move this market before Oct 25, 2026.