TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Taiyo Yamanaka and Yuto Oki in the M15 Tanagura, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 8:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taiyo Yamanaka' if Taiyo Yamanaka advances against Yuto Oki. This market will resolve to 'Yuto Oki' if Yuto Oki advances against Taiyo Yamanaka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Taiyo Yamanaka and Yuto Oki in the M15 Tanagura, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 8:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taiyo Yamanaka' if Taiyo Yamanaka advances against Yuto Oki. This market will resolve to 'Yuto Oki' if Yuto Oki advances against Taiyo Yamanaka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual bettors. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that prediction market traders have access to information or insights not fully incorporated into sportsbook pricing. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Taiyo Yamanaka vs Yuto Oki match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding the condition of Taiyo Yamanaka or Yuto Oki, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, could significantly shift expectations. Pre-match analysis from respected boxing commentators and analysts could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any unexpected developments related to the event itself, like venue changes or rule adjustments, could lead to price movements as traders reassess the probabilities of different outcomes. Public sentiment and betting patterns could also play a role.