TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Taiyo Narumi and George Russell in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taiyo Narumi' if Taiyo Narumi advances against George Russell. This market will resolve to 'George Russell' if George Russell advances against Taiyo Narumi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Taiyo Narumi and George Russell in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taiyo Narumi' if Taiyo Narumi advances against George Russell. This market will resolve to 'George Russell' if George Russell advances against Taiyo Narumi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing perceptions regarding the Tanagura boxing match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the Tanagura match. The fighter declared the winner by the official decision will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any protests or appeals will be considered only if they result in a change to the official result. The platform will then finalize the payout to those who correctly predicted the winner.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also draw attention and impact volume. Any updates on the fighters’ physical condition or strategic approaches are likely to be closely monitored. Public analysis from boxing experts and any shifts in perceived advantages could also contribute to price movements leading up to Oct 25, 2026.