TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Taito Sampei and Yu Tanaka in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taito Sampei' if Taito Sampei advances against Yu Tanaka. This market will resolve to 'Yu Tanaka' if Yu Tanaka advances against Taito Sampei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Taito Sampei and Yu Tanaka in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taito Sampei' if Taito Sampei advances against Yu Tanaka. This market will resolve to 'Yu Tanaka' if Yu Tanaka advances against Taito Sampei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tanagura fight between Taito Sampei and Yu Tanaka. The platform will verify the winner according to publicly available fight records and announcements. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to 1 minus the trading fee, while shares in the losing outcome will be worth zero.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding the fighters' training, injuries, or changes in their fight strategies could significantly impact the odds. Public statements from the fighters or their teams, as well as expert analysis from MMA commentators, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected developments, such as a late change in opponents or concerns about fighter weight, could also cause volatility in the market. Increased media coverage or social media buzz surrounding the fight could also drive trading volume and price fluctuations.