TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Soshi Sugawara and YUKI KARATSU in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Soshi Sugawara' if Soshi Sugawara advances against YUKI KARATSU. This market will resolve to 'YUKI KARATSU' if YUKI KARATSU advances against Soshi Sugawara. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Soshi Sugawara and YUKI KARATSU in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Soshi Sugawara' if Soshi Sugawara advances against YUKI KARATSU. This market will resolve to 'YUKI KARATSU' if YUKI KARATSU advances against Soshi Sugawara. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the pricing process. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tanagura match between Soshi Sugawara and YUKI KARATSU. Any official announcements or results from the governing body will be used to determine the winner. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or even weather conditions could all impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also shift sentiment. Public statements from analysts or commentators offering their predictions could also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Any significant developments related to the players or the event itself have the potential to move this market considerably before Oct 25, 2026.