TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 1:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Muto and Tin Chen in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shu Muto' if Shu Muto advances against Tin Chen. This market will resolve to 'Tin Chen' if Tin Chen advances against Shu Muto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Muto and Tin Chen in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shu Muto' if Shu Muto advances against Tin Chen. This market will resolve to 'Tin Chen' if Tin Chen advances against Shu Muto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and profit margins into their lines, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights into market sentiment and potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice-versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood, driven by informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Muto vs Chen match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding the condition of either player, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected announcements about changes to the match schedule or venue could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, analysis from sports commentators or shifts in public opinion, even if not directly related to concrete events, can influence traders’ beliefs and therefore the market prices. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in this market.