TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Muto and Sena Sasaki in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shu Muto' if Shu Muto advances against Sena Sasaki. This market will resolve to 'Sena Sasaki' if Sena Sasaki advances against Shu Muto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shu Muto and Sena Sasaki in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shu Muto' if Shu Muto advances against Sena Sasaki. This market will resolve to 'Sena Sasaki' if Sena Sasaki advances against Shu Muto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment surrounding the M15 Tanagura fight.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tanagura fight between Shu Muto and Sena Sasaki, as declared by the relevant governing body. The market will determine which fighter is declared the winner according to the official rules of the competition. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result of the fight.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even shifts in public perception could influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s conditions, such as a last-minute venue change or rule modification, could also cause the odds to shift. Furthermore, expert analysis or commentary from respected boxing analysts could sway traders' opinions and impact the volume and pricing of shares in this market for the M15 Tanagura fight.