TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Saki TANGE and YUTO UMEDA in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saki TANGE' if Saki TANGE advances against YUTO UMEDA. This market will resolve to 'YUTO UMEDA' if YUTO UMEDA advances against Saki TANGE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Saki TANGE and YUTO UMEDA in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saki TANGE' if Saki TANGE advances against YUTO UMEDA. This market will resolve to 'YUTO UMEDA' if YUTO UMEDA advances against Saki TANGE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates all available information, providing a real-time assessment of the fight’s potential results. The current top outcome, as indicated by share prices, is not available at this time.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the boxing match between Saki TANGE and YUTO UMEDA, as declared by the relevant boxing commission or governing body. The winner of the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any official decision, including a knockout, technical knockout, or decision by judges, will be used to determine the resolution. The platform will verify the result against established sources.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or unexpected developments in their preparation could impact trader sentiment. Public statements from the fighters or their trainers, as well as analysis from boxing experts, could also influence the market. Furthermore, any shifts in public betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks could create arbitrage opportunities and lead to price adjustments on Polymarket. Unexpected announcements related to the fight’s venue or scheduling could also introduce volatility.