TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 3:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Saki TANGE and Kaede Katayama in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saki TANGE' if Saki TANGE advances against Kaede Katayama. This market will resolve to 'Kaede Katayama' if Kaede Katayama advances against Saki TANGE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Saki TANGE and Kaede Katayama in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saki TANGE' if Saki TANGE advances against Kaede Katayama. This market will resolve to 'Kaede Katayama' if Kaede Katayama advances against Saki TANGE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares of a player, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in their victory. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the Tanagura tennis match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tanagura tennis match between Saki Tange and Kaede Katayama, as declared by the tournament organizers. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered, but the final decision will rely on widely accepted and verifiable sources. Traders should monitor official tournament channels for updates leading up to and following the match’s completion.
Several signals could influence this market leading up to the resolution date. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or even updates on player form and recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or personal issues affecting either Saki Tange or Kaede Katayama could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, any shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, may impact trading activity and ultimately the odds within this market.