TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rin Yoshida and Hien Pham in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rin Yoshida' if Rin Yoshida advances against Hien Pham. This market will resolve to 'Hien Pham' if Hien Pham advances against Rin Yoshida. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rin Yoshida and Hien Pham in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rin Yoshida' if Rin Yoshida advances against Hien Pham. This market will resolve to 'Hien Pham' if Hien Pham advances against Rin Yoshida. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people bet on a particular outcome, the price of its shares increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, if traders believe an outcome is less likely, they will sell shares, driving the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tanagura fight between Rin Yoshida and Hien Pham, as declared by the event organizers. Any official announcement regarding the winner will serve as the basis for determining the outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand how the event will be verified.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. News regarding injuries to either Rin Yoshida or Hien Pham would likely have a significant impact. Updates on their training camps, changes in coaching staff, or any public statements from the fighters themselves could also shift sentiment. Unexpected results in other recent fights involving similar opponents might influence perceptions of their relative strengths, and even broader trends in the sport could contribute to changes in the market.