TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Riku Takahata and Cyrus Liu in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Riku Takahata' if Riku Takahata advances against Cyrus Liu. This market will resolve to 'Cyrus Liu' if Cyrus Liu advances against Riku Takahata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Riku Takahata and Cyrus Liu in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Riku Takahata' if Riku Takahata advances against Cyrus Liu. This market will resolve to 'Cyrus Liu' if Cyrus Liu advances against Riku Takahata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome in the Takahata vs Liu match. As more shares are bought for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the result. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tanagura: Riku Takahata vs Cyrus Liu match. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding the condition of either Riku Takahata or Cyrus Liu, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, could significantly shift expectations. Updates on their recent performance in other matches, or any strategic announcements related to their approach to this match, could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment, expressed through social media or expert analysis, may also play a role in how this market moves.