TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Masamune Matsumoto and IKO ANGELO in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Masamune Matsumoto' if Masamune Matsumoto advances against IKO ANGELO. This market will resolve to 'IKO ANGELO' if IKO ANGELO advances against Masamune Matsumoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Masamune Matsumoto and IKO ANGELO in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Masamune Matsumoto' if Masamune Matsumoto advances against IKO ANGELO. This market will resolve to 'IKO ANGELO' if IKO ANGELO advances against Masamune Matsumoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and represent the most current expectations of the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tanagura: Masamune Matsumoto vs IKO ANGELO fight, as declared by the relevant governing body. Any official announcement regarding the winner will be used to determine the settlement of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected analysis from respected MMA commentators or shifts in public perception could also play a role. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either fighter winning – Masamune Matsumoto or IKO ANGELO – are likely to cause fluctuations in the market price and volume leading up to Oct 25, 2026.