TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 1:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Markus Malaszszak and Jumpei Yamasaki in the M15 Tanagura, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Markus Malaszszak' if Markus Malaszszak advances against Jumpei Yamasaki. This market will resolve to 'Jumpei Yamasaki' if Jumpei Yamasaki advances against Markus Malaszszak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Markus Malaszszak and Jumpei Yamasaki in the M15 Tanagura, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Markus Malaszszak' if Markus Malaszszak advances against Jumpei Yamasaki. This market will resolve to 'Jumpei Yamasaki' if Jumpei Yamasaki advances against Markus Malaszszak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own informed opinions. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, as traders could potentially profit by betting on both venues. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets also have their own risks and are subject to market fluctuations based on news and information flow. It’s always wise to compare odds from multiple sources before making any decisions.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tanagura MMA fight between Markus Malaszszak and Jumpei Yamasaki, as declared by the relevant governing body. The market will determine which fighter won the match, based on the official decision. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or unexpected announcements about their condition would likely impact the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, can also play a role. Furthermore, any updates on the fighters’ weight class or potential rule changes could influence trader behavior. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight could create volatility and shift the probabilities reflected in this market.