TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
M15 Tanagura: Kenta Kawada vs Natsuki Yamamoto
polymarket

What is the result of Kenta Kawada vs Natsuki Yamamoto?

Volume:
N/A

M15 Tanagura: Kenta Kawada vs Natsuki Yamamoto

 - Polymarket

M15 Tanagura: Kenta Kawada vs Natsuki Yamamoto - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 1:21 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

M15 Tanagura: Kenta Kawada vs Natsuki Yamamoto

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M15 Tanagura: Kenta Kawada vs Natsuki Yamamoto Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M15 Tanagura: Kenta Kawada vs Natsuki Yamamoto Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Kenta Kawada and Natsuki Yamamoto in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kenta Kawada' if Kenta Kawada advances against Natsuki Yamamoto. This market will resolve to 'Natsuki Yamamoto' if Natsuki Yamamoto advances against Kenta Kawada. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Kenta Kawada and Natsuki Yamamoto in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kenta Kawada' if Kenta Kawada advances against Natsuki Yamamoto. This market will resolve to 'Natsuki Yamamoto' if Natsuki Yamamoto advances against Kenta Kawada. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of experts, while this market is driven by many participants. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there's significant uncertainty or public debate surrounding an event like the Tanagura wrestling match. These differences can arise from varying information access or differing interpretations of the same data.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Kenta Kawada will win, for example, the higher the price of shares representing his victory will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tanagura wrestling match between Kenta Kawada and Natsuki Yamamoto, as declared by the governing wrestling organization. The winning wrestler, as officially announced, will determine the settlement of this market. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Polymarket once the event has concluded and the result is verified.

Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Kenta Kawada or Natsuki Yamamoto – such as injuries or illness – would likely have a significant impact. Pre-match analysis from wrestling experts, changes in betting lines at sportsbooks, and even social media sentiment could also contribute to price movements. Unexpected announcements regarding the match itself, like a change in venue or rules, could also move this market before Oct 26, 2026.