TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kenta Kawada and Cheng En Yu in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kenta Kawada' if Kenta Kawada advances against Cheng En Yu. This market will resolve to 'Cheng En Yu' if Cheng En Yu advances against Kenta Kawada. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kenta Kawada and Cheng En Yu in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kenta Kawada' if Kenta Kawada advances against Cheng En Yu. This market will resolve to 'Cheng En Yu' if Cheng En Yu advances against Kenta Kawada. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and evolving expectations regarding the Kawada vs Yu match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tanagura match between Kenta Kawada and Cheng En Yu. The platform will rely on established sports news outlets and official tournament results to determine the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor these sources as the event approaches to stay informed about potential updates or changes that could affect the resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Kenta Kawada or Cheng En Yu could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or broader shifts in public perception of the players' capabilities, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements, reflecting their conviction in a particular outcome.