TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kazushi Idogaki and Haruki Kakizaki in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kazushi Idogaki' if Kazushi Idogaki advances against Haruki Kakizaki. This market will resolve to 'Haruki Kakizaki' if Haruki Kakizaki advances against Kazushi Idogaki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kazushi Idogaki and Haruki Kakizaki in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kazushi Idogaki' if Kazushi Idogaki advances against Haruki Kakizaki. This market will resolve to 'Haruki Kakizaki' if Haruki Kakizaki advances against Kazushi Idogaki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe in a particular outcome, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current price indicates the implied probability of a specific fighter winning.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tanagura fight between Kazushi Idogaki and Haruki Kakizaki. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket's established procedures, focusing on objective and verifiable evidence.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also trigger adjustments in this market. Furthermore, any updates on the fighters’ physical condition or strategic approaches leading up to the fight could cause shifts in the perceived probabilities. Public analysis and expert predictions, if they deviate significantly from the current market price, could also drive trading activity.