TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kazuki Yamada and Natsuki Yamamoto in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kazuki Yamada' if Kazuki Yamada advances against Natsuki Yamamoto. This market will resolve to 'Natsuki Yamamoto' if Natsuki Yamamoto advances against Kazuki Yamada. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kazuki Yamada and Natsuki Yamamoto in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kazuki Yamada' if Kazuki Yamada advances against Natsuki Yamamoto. This market will resolve to 'Natsuki Yamamoto' if Natsuki Yamamoto advances against Kazuki Yamada. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Yamada vs Yamamoto match, driven entirely by supply and demand within the market.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tanagura match between Kazuki Yamada and Natsuki Yamamoto. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Kazuki Yamada or Natsuki Yamamoto, such as injury reports or illness announcements, would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in publicly available rankings or analysis from respected commentators could also impact trader sentiment. Finally, unexpected developments leading up to the match, like strategic announcements or changes in coaching, could all contribute to movement in this market as traders react to new information.