TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaede Katayama and Syunta Kikuchi in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaede Katayama' if Kaede Katayama advances against Syunta Kikuchi. This market will resolve to 'Syunta Kikuchi' if Syunta Kikuchi advances against Kaede Katayama. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaede Katayama and Syunta Kikuchi in the M15 Tanagura, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaede Katayama' if Kaede Katayama advances against Syunta Kikuchi. This market will resolve to 'Syunta Kikuchi' if Syunta Kikuchi advances against Kaede Katayama. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Katayama vs Kikuchi match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares indicating they believe a particular outcome will happen, the price of those shares increases. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating, creating a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tanagura: Kaede Katayama vs Syunta Kikuchi match, as determined by the event organizers. The platform will then verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding the condition of either Kaede Katayama or Syunta Kikuchi, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or location could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could lead to changes in the market’s assessment of the Katayama vs Kikuchi match outcome.