TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jumpei Yamasaki and Yuta Tomida in the M15 Tanagura, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 8:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jumpei Yamasaki' if Jumpei Yamasaki advances against Yuta Tomida. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Tomida' if Yuta Tomida advances against Jumpei Yamasaki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jumpei Yamasaki and Yuta Tomida in the M15 Tanagura, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 8:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jumpei Yamasaki' if Jumpei Yamasaki advances against Yuta Tomida. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Tomida' if Yuta Tomida advances against Jumpei Yamasaki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Yamasaki vs Tomida match. The price of each share directly reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing perceptions about the event's likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tanagura match between Jumpei Yamasaki and Yuta Tomida, as declared by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Jumpei Yamasaki or Yuta Tomida, such as injury reports or illness announcements, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in their recent performance, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on the day of the match could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the event itself, like venue changes or rule modifications, could also cause fluctuations in the market.