TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 1:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hyu Kawanishi and Yu Tanaka in the M15 Tanagura, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hyu Kawanishi' if Hyu Kawanishi advances against Yu Tanaka. This market will resolve to 'Yu Tanaka' if Yu Tanaka advances against Hyu Kawanishi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hyu Kawanishi and Yu Tanaka in the M15 Tanagura, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hyu Kawanishi' if Hyu Kawanishi advances against Yu Tanaka. This market will resolve to 'Yu Tanaka' if Yu Tanaka advances against Hyu Kawanishi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which can be influenced by public perception or house biases. Sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting action, but this market allows for continuous price discovery driven by informed traders. It's common to see prediction markets converge towards the 'true' probability as more information becomes available, potentially offering a more accurate assessment than traditional betting outlets. This is especially true as the event draws closer.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tanagura: Hyu Kawanishi vs Yu Tanaka match. Any disputes will be assessed against widely available and reliable sources to determine the definitive winner of the match. Traders should monitor official announcements for the final result and subsequent market settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Hyu Kawanishi or Yu Tanaka, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in publicly available match statistics, or analyses from respected sports commentators, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or location might also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning could move this market.