TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 2:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hyu Kawanishi and James Connel in the M15 Tanagura, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hyu Kawanishi' if Hyu Kawanishi advances against James Connel. This market will resolve to 'James Connel' if James Connel advances against Hyu Kawanishi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hyu Kawanishi and James Connel in the M15 Tanagura, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hyu Kawanishi' if Hyu Kawanishi advances against James Connel. This market will resolve to 'James Connel' if James Connel advances against Hyu Kawanishi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Generally, prediction markets can be more accurate, especially when there is significant trading volume. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies may highlight areas where the market perceives an advantage or undervaluation. It’s worth considering both when forming your own opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result of the Kawanishi vs Connel match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tanagura: Hyu Kawanishi vs James Connel match. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in their training regimes could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes might also play a role. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, can also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to the match.