TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yoan Naydenov and Milan Zavaczki in the M15 Szabolcsveresmart, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yoan Naydenov' if Yoan Naydenov advances against Milan Zavaczki. This market will resolve to 'Milan Zavaczki' if Milan Zavaczki advances against Yoan Naydenov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yoan Naydenov and Milan Zavaczki in the M15 Szabolcsveresmart, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yoan Naydenov' if Yoan Naydenov advances against Milan Zavaczki. This market will resolve to 'Milan Zavaczki' if Milan Zavaczki advances against Yoan Naydenov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Polymarket regarding the likelihood of each player winning the match, and is updated constantly based on trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Naydenov vs Zavaczki match as reported by the governing body for this competition. The winning player, as determined by the official results, will be the outcome that determines the settlement of this market on Polymarket. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could trigger movement. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket can create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Oct 18, 2026 resolution.