TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 9:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Trisztan Gubi and Nicholas Volnik in the M15 Szabolcsveresmart, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Trisztan Gubi' if Trisztan Gubi advances against Nicholas Volnik. This market will resolve to 'Nicholas Volnik' if Nicholas Volnik advances against Trisztan Gubi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Trisztan Gubi and Nicholas Volnik in the M15 Szabolcsveresmart, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Trisztan Gubi' if Trisztan Gubi advances against Nicholas Volnik. This market will resolve to 'Nicholas Volnik' if Nicholas Volnik advances against Trisztan Gubi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to collectively express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to note that prediction market odds are dynamic and can change rapidly based on new information and trading activity.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome drives up the price, increasing its implied probability, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gubi vs Volnik match. Any official announcements or results released by the governing body of the sport will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment and cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about player form or any controversies surrounding the match could also lead to substantial shifts in the market. Furthermore, large-volume trades from influential traders could also create momentum and drive price movements in either direction. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding the market’s dynamics.