TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 8:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefan Seifert and Botond Kisantal in the M15 Szabolcsveresmart, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Seifert' if Stefan Seifert advances against Botond Kisantal. This market will resolve to 'Botond Kisantal' if Botond Kisantal advances against Stefan Seifert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefan Seifert and Botond Kisantal in the M15 Szabolcsveresmart, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Seifert' if Stefan Seifert advances against Botond Kisantal. This market will resolve to 'Botond Kisantal' if Botond Kisantal advances against Stefan Seifert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with, but sometimes diverging from, traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the outcome of the Szabolcsveresmart tennis match, the odds here may move in a different direction. This difference can present opportunities for arbitrage or indicate differing levels of confidence in each player’s chances of winning.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for one player, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of shares indicates the market’s collective forecast for the Szabolcsveresmart tennis match, and the total volume traded provides insight into the level of interest and conviction surrounding each potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Szabolcsveresmart tennis match between Stefan Seifert and Botond Kisantal. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites or sports news outlets. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 20, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could all cause the odds to fluctuate. Unexpected announcements about either Stefan Seifert or Botond Kisantal’s form, or any controversies surrounding the match itself, could also trigger substantial movement. Even general tennis news or upsets in other tournaments could indirectly affect trader sentiment and impact the price of shares in this market.