TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 11:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Gloeckler and Vardan Manukyan in the M15 Szabolcsveresmart, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Gloeckler' if Michael Gloeckler advances against Vardan Manukyan. This market will resolve to 'Vardan Manukyan' if Vardan Manukyan advances against Michael Gloeckler. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Gloeckler and Vardan Manukyan in the M15 Szabolcsveresmart, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Gloeckler' if Michael Gloeckler advances against Vardan Manukyan. This market will resolve to 'Vardan Manukyan' if Vardan Manukyan advances against Michael Gloeckler. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the 'wisdom of the crowd' versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing or risk management into their pricing, while this market relies purely on traders’ willingness to buy or sell shares representing different outcomes. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders rapidly adjust their beliefs based on available data and analysis. This can provide a different perspective on the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gloeckler vs Manukyan match, as reported by a recognized authority in the sport. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome. It's important to monitor news sources and official announcements leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential developments that could impact the event.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes to their training regimens could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or broader sporting events might influence overall confidence in either athlete. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations in this market.