TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lukas Pokorny and Alex Kobelt in the M15 Szabolcsveresmart, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Pokorny' if Lukas Pokorny advances against Alex Kobelt. This market will resolve to 'Alex Kobelt' if Alex Kobelt advances against Lukas Pokorny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lukas Pokorny and Alex Kobelt in the M15 Szabolcsveresmart, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Pokorny' if Lukas Pokorny advances against Alex Kobelt. This market will resolve to 'Alex Kobelt' if Alex Kobelt advances against Lukas Pokorny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes the value lies in the Pokorny vs Kobelt match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Pokorny vs Kobelt match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what the market as a whole believes is the likelihood of a particular result.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Pokorny vs Kobelt match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will then determine the winning share(s) and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the players' preparation or strategy could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, can also play a role, especially if it deviates from initial assessments of the Pokorny vs Kobelt match. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.