TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 12:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jonas GUNDACKER and Leonardo Borrelli in the M15 Szabolcsveresmart, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jonas GUNDACKER' if Jonas GUNDACKER advances against Leonardo Borrelli. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Borrelli' if Leonardo Borrelli advances against Jonas GUNDACKER. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jonas GUNDACKER and Leonardo Borrelli in the M15 Szabolcsveresmart, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jonas GUNDACKER' if Jonas GUNDACKER advances against Leonardo Borrelli. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Borrelli' if Leonardo Borrelli advances against Jonas GUNDACKER. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information and adjust probabilities, especially as the event draws nearer and more data becomes available. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of expected outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are bought for one outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting as new information emerges and opinions shift.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Szabolcsveresmart match between Jonas Gundacker and Leonardo Borrelli. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a fair and accurate settlement. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Jonas Gundacker or Leonardo Borrelli could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, causing a rapid adjustment in the market’s pricing. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts.