TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 7:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Kobelt and Jiang Yi Qing in the M15 Szabolcsveresmart, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Kobelt' if Alex Kobelt advances against Jiang Yi Qing. This market will resolve to 'Jiang Yi Qing' if Jiang Yi Qing advances against Alex Kobelt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Kobelt and Jiang Yi Qing in the M15 Szabolcsveresmart, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Kobelt' if Alex Kobelt advances against Jiang Yi Qing. This market will resolve to 'Jiang Yi Qing' if Jiang Yi Qing advances against Alex Kobelt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic process creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each result in the Kobelt vs Qing match, based on the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Szabolcsveresmart match between Alex Kobelt and Jiang Yi Qing, as declared by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 19, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could all shift trader sentiment. Any announcements related to the match schedule, venue, or playing conditions could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant bets from well-known traders or large volume spikes could signal informed activity and trigger further price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market is evolving and potentially identifying profitable trading opportunities.