TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Gabor Szoke and Filip Drab in the M15 Szabolcsveresmart, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Gabor Szoke' if Adam Gabor Szoke advances against Filip Drab. This market will resolve to 'Filip Drab' if Filip Drab advances against Adam Gabor Szoke. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Gabor Szoke and Filip Drab in the M15 Szabolcsveresmart, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Gabor Szoke' if Adam Gabor Szoke advances against Filip Drab. This market will resolve to 'Filip Drab' if Filip Drab advances against Adam Gabor Szoke. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market's odds are driven by actual money being wagered. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome, the odds here will adjust accordingly, potentially offering value compared to traditional betting options. It's important to compare both to make informed decisions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's potential results, based on the aggregated actions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Szabolcsveresmart tennis match between Adam Gabor Szoke and Filip Drab. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market's outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could impact trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the match outcome is key to understanding how this market might evolve.