TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 6:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuichiro Inui and Thantub Suksumrarn in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuichiro Inui' if Yuichiro Inui advances against Thantub Suksumrarn. This market will resolve to 'Thantub Suksumrarn' if Thantub Suksumrarn advances against Yuichiro Inui. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuichiro Inui and Thantub Suksumrarn in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuichiro Inui' if Yuichiro Inui advances against Thantub Suksumrarn. This market will resolve to 'Thantub Suksumrarn' if Thantub Suksumrarn advances against Yuichiro Inui. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own analyses and to balance action on both sides, whereas this market represents the collective belief of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the mispricing. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, making it a dynamic indicator of expectations for the Inui vs Suksumrarn match. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Singapore fight between Yuichiro Inui and Thantub Suksumrarn, as determined by the event organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 5, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also draw attention and impact trading activity. Furthermore, any updates on the fighters’ physical condition or tactical approaches leading up to the match could cause significant price movements as traders reassess their predictions for the Inui vs Suksumrarn match.