TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Shaheed Alam and Noah Karma in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shaheed Alam' if Shaheed Alam advances against Noah Karma. This market will resolve to 'Noah Karma' if Noah Karma advances against Shaheed Alam. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shaheed Alam and Noah Karma in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shaheed Alam' if Shaheed Alam advances against Noah Karma. This market will resolve to 'Noah Karma' if Noah Karma advances against Shaheed Alam. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions on the probabilities of each fighter winning. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more nuanced probabilities than traditional betting options.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s price isn’t determined by a central authority but rather by the collective actions of all participants, creating a dynamic and responsive prediction tool.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shaheed Alam vs Noah Karma match, as reported by the recognized governing body for this type of competition. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or unexpected announcements about their condition could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public analysis from reputable combat sports experts, pre-fight press conferences, and even social media activity could also play a role. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also be considered by traders as they refine their predictions. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning has the potential to move this market.