TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ren Nakamura and Julien Tremolieres in the M15 Singapore, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ren Nakamura' if Ren Nakamura advances against Julien Tremolieres. This market will resolve to 'Julien Tremolieres' if Julien Tremolieres advances against Ren Nakamura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ren Nakamura and Julien Tremolieres in the M15 Singapore, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ren Nakamura' if Ren Nakamura advances against Julien Tremolieres. This market will resolve to 'Julien Tremolieres' if Julien Tremolieres advances against Ren Nakamura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, we often see the prediction market odds move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a substantial amount of volume is traded on Polymarket.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand, with traders setting the odds based on their own research and analysis of the Nakamura vs Tremolieres match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Singapore match between Ren Nakamura and Julien Tremolieres, as reported by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and determine the winning outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions for either Ren Nakamura or Julien Tremolieres would likely cause movement. Unexpected results in preceding matches, or shifts in expert analysis regarding their respective strengths and weaknesses, could also impact trader sentiment. Finally, significant volume entering the market – either from large traders or increased public interest – can lead to price fluctuations as traders adjust their positions.