TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Ng and Hendrik Thada Grohbruegge in the M15 Singapore, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Ng' if Michael Ng advances against Hendrik Thada Grohbruegge. This market will resolve to 'Hendrik Thada Grohbruegge' if Hendrik Thada Grohbruegge advances against Michael Ng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Ng and Hendrik Thada Grohbruegge in the M15 Singapore, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Ng' if Michael Ng advances against Hendrik Thada Grohbruegge. This market will resolve to 'Hendrik Thada Grohbruegge' if Hendrik Thada Grohbruegge advances against Michael Ng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives from traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, potential upsets, or even external factors influencing the match. Observing these differences can be insightful, as they highlight where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate for each possible result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the market price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time assessment of the likely outcome of the Singapore tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Michael Ng versus Hendrik Thada Grohbruegge tennis match in Singapore. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders should monitor official tournament results to understand when the market will be settled and how the outcome is determined.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected developments in the tournament could significantly shift trader sentiment. Updates on player form, recent performance, or even weather forecasts for the match day can all contribute to price movements. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations and drive the market in a particular direction, reflecting new information or strategic positioning.