TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between M Rifqi Fitriadi and Madhwin Kamath in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'M Rifqi Fitriadi' if M Rifqi Fitriadi advances against Madhwin Kamath. This market will resolve to 'Madhwin Kamath' if Madhwin Kamath advances against M Rifqi Fitriadi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between M Rifqi Fitriadi and Madhwin Kamath in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'M Rifqi Fitriadi' if M Rifqi Fitriadi advances against Madhwin Kamath. This market will resolve to 'Madhwin Kamath' if Madhwin Kamath advances against M Rifqi Fitriadi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a player, they can buy shares, driving up the price and potentially creating a difference in implied probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event date.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic process ensures the market price constantly adjusts to incorporate new information and changing opinions.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Singapore tennis match between M Rifqi Fitriadi and Madhwin Kamath. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing player will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or recent match results would likely have an impact. Unexpected weather conditions in Singapore could also shift expectations, particularly if one player is more affected by the conditions than the other. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and move the price. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts or changes in player rankings could also contribute to shifts in market sentiment.