TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luke Koh and Sam Kydd Baumgartner in the M15 Singapore, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luke Koh' if Luke Koh advances against Sam Kydd Baumgartner. This market will resolve to 'Sam Kydd Baumgartner' if Sam Kydd Baumgartner advances against Luke Koh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luke Koh and Sam Kydd Baumgartner in the M15 Singapore, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luke Koh' if Luke Koh advances against Sam Kydd Baumgartner. This market will resolve to 'Sam Kydd Baumgartner' if Sam Kydd Baumgartner advances against Luke Koh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that new information hasn’t yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. Examining these differences can be a useful exercise for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The current price movements indicate how the crowd perceives the likelihood of each player winning the Singapore M15 match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the M15 Singapore tennis match between Luke Koh and Sam Kydd Baumgartner. Verification will rely on widely available and trusted sources documenting the match results, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning player. The market will then settle accordingly, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting play, might also cause price adjustments. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term price movements, reflecting shifts in sentiment among market participants. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to the match’s conclusion.