TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 6:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Lorusso and Daisuke Sumizawa in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Lorusso' if Lorenzo Lorusso advances against Daisuke Sumizawa. This market will resolve to 'Daisuke Sumizawa' if Daisuke Sumizawa advances against Lorenzo Lorusso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Lorusso and Daisuke Sumizawa in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Lorusso' if Lorenzo Lorusso advances against Daisuke Sumizawa. This market will resolve to 'Daisuke Sumizawa' if Daisuke Sumizawa advances against Lorenzo Lorusso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs through trading. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing insights.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Singapore match between Lorenzo Lorusso and Daisuke Sumizawa. The platform will verify the winner through publicly available sources, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. This ensures the market accurately reflects the actual event result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term volatility. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts that could move this market before it resolves.