TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kosuke Ogura and Madhwin Kamath in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kosuke Ogura' if Kosuke Ogura advances against Madhwin Kamath. This market will resolve to 'Madhwin Kamath' if Madhwin Kamath advances against Kosuke Ogura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kosuke Ogura and Madhwin Kamath in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kosuke Ogura' if Kosuke Ogura advances against Madhwin Kamath. This market will resolve to 'Madhwin Kamath' if Madhwin Kamath advances against Kosuke Ogura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and information. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one player, but volume in this market suggests a more competitive expectation, it could indicate a disagreement between conventional wisdom and the collective judgment of prediction market participants. This difference can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market's price discovery process is driven by supply and demand, with higher demand for shares in a particular outcome pushing its price up and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing environment.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kosuke Ogura versus Madhwin Kamath tennis match in Singapore. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, could also impact the market. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could trigger price movements, and shifts in public perception of each player’s chances will also be reflected in the market’s price. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in this market.