TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 3:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kazuma Kawachi and Ali Habib in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kazuma Kawachi' if Kazuma Kawachi advances against Ali Habib. This market will resolve to 'Ali Habib' if Ali Habib advances against Kazuma Kawachi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kazuma Kawachi and Ali Habib in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kazuma Kawachi' if Kazuma Kawachi advances against Ali Habib. This market will resolve to 'Ali Habib' if Ali Habib advances against Kazuma Kawachi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a broader range of opinions than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs. If sportsbooks heavily favor one fighter, you might find different probabilities reflected here, particularly if there's disagreement among those trading on Polymarket. Discrepancies can arise from differing analyses of fighter stats, training reports, or even subjective factors not easily quantifiable by traditional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kawachi vs Habib fight. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kawachi vs Habib fight, as declared by the relevant governing body. The fighter declared the winner by the official decision will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered in the resolution process, relying on publicly available information.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about fighter weight or health conditions would likely cause a rapid adjustment in the odds. Public analysis from respected MMA journalists or analysts could also influence trading activity, as could any significant shifts in betting action at traditional sportsbooks. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.