TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 7:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kazuki Nakajima and Pranav Karthik in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kazuki Nakajima' if Kazuki Nakajima advances against Pranav Karthik. This market will resolve to 'Pranav Karthik' if Pranav Karthik advances against Kazuki Nakajima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kazuki Nakajima and Pranav Karthik in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kazuki Nakajima' if Kazuki Nakajima advances against Pranav Karthik. This market will resolve to 'Pranav Karthik' if Pranav Karthik advances against Kazuki Nakajima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their analysis, while this market allows traders to adjust probabilities based on new information and diverse perspectives. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there is significant public interest and active trading. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before the event begins, as the market incorporates a wider range of data.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments of the players' chances of winning the Singapore M15 tennis match. This creates a constantly evolving probability assessment.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Singapore M15 tennis match between Kazuki Nakajima and Pranav Karthik. The winner of the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in the market’s resolution status on Polymarket shortly after the match concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament involving either player could also impact the market. Furthermore, any public statements from tennis analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the players’ chances could contribute to price movements. Active trading volume and new information leading up to Nov 5, 2026 will be key indicators of potential shifts.