TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eric Ahren Moonga and Tobias Albig in the M15 Singapore, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eric Ahren Moonga' if Eric Ahren Moonga advances against Tobias Albig. This market will resolve to 'Tobias Albig' if Tobias Albig advances against Eric Ahren Moonga. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eric Ahren Moonga and Tobias Albig in the M15 Singapore, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eric Ahren Moonga' if Eric Ahren Moonga advances against Tobias Albig. This market will resolve to 'Tobias Albig' if Tobias Albig advances against Eric Ahren Moonga. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and can incorporate information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Singapore tennis match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for these shares, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Eric Ahren Moonga vs Tobias Albig tennis match in Singapore. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. This is a straightforward win/loss market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players could also impact perceptions of their overall skill and chances of winning. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Keep an eye on tennis news and analysis for potential catalysts.