TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 4:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eric Ahren Moonga and Sam Kydd Baumgartner in the M15 Singapore, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eric Ahren Moonga' if Eric Ahren Moonga advances against Sam Kydd Baumgartner. This market will resolve to 'Sam Kydd Baumgartner' if Sam Kydd Baumgartner advances against Eric Ahren Moonga. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eric Ahren Moonga and Sam Kydd Baumgartner in the M15 Singapore, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eric Ahren Moonga' if Eric Ahren Moonga advances against Sam Kydd Baumgartner. This market will resolve to 'Sam Kydd Baumgartner' if Sam Kydd Baumgartner advances against Eric Ahren Moonga. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd effect. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can drive the prediction market odds in a different direction. This can lead to opportunities for arbitrage or simply a more accurate assessment of the true probabilities, compared to initial sportsbook offerings.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive prediction. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform regarding the Singapore tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Eric Ahren Moonga vs Sam Kydd Baumgartner tennis match in Singapore. The platform will verify the winner against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected match announcements could shift trader sentiment. Strong performance by either player in preceding matches, or even pre-match interviews revealing strategic insights, could also influence the odds. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price movements, especially if they signal informed activity. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market before Oct 26, 2026.