TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daisuke Sumizawa and Yao Hui Dylan Chan in the M15 Singapore, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daisuke Sumizawa' if Daisuke Sumizawa advances against Yao Hui Dylan Chan. This market will resolve to 'Yao Hui Dylan Chan' if Yao Hui Dylan Chan advances against Daisuke Sumizawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daisuke Sumizawa and Yao Hui Dylan Chan in the M15 Singapore, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daisuke Sumizawa' if Daisuke Sumizawa advances against Yao Hui Dylan Chan. This market will resolve to 'Yao Hui Dylan Chan' if Yao Hui Dylan Chan advances against Daisuke Sumizawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially identifying mispriced outcomes. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's life, as prediction markets incorporate information and opinions not yet fully reflected in sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, indicating growing confidence in that outcome, while selling pressure lowers it. This creates a constantly updated forecast of the match's result.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Daisuke Sumizawa versus Yao Hui Dylan Chan match in the M15 Singapore tournament. The platform will rely on established tennis data sources to determine the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official tournament results to understand how this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting play, could also cause movement. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and any updates on player strategies could also contribute to price fluctuations as traders adjust their predictions based on new information.