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$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 6:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Azuma Visaya and Sam Kydd Baumgartner in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Azuma Visaya' if Azuma Visaya advances against Sam Kydd Baumgartner. This market will resolve to 'Sam Kydd Baumgartner' if Sam Kydd Baumgartner advances against Azuma Visaya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Azuma Visaya and Sam Kydd Baumgartner in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Azuma Visaya' if Azuma Visaya advances against Sam Kydd Baumgartner. This market will resolve to 'Sam Kydd Baumgartner' if Sam Kydd Baumgartner advances against Azuma Visaya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction market odds are fluid and change continuously based on trading activity, unlike fixed sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, providing a unique insight into the potential result of the Singapore tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Azuma Visaya versus Sam Kydd Baumgartner tennis match in Singapore. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner of the match. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even general shifts in public opinion, could also drive price movements. Major announcements related to the tournament itself, such as weather delays or rule changes, might also cause fluctuations in the market as traders reassess the probabilities of different outcomes.