TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 6:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arjun Mehrotra and Ergi Kirkin in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arjun Mehrotra' if Arjun Mehrotra advances against Ergi Kirkin. This market will resolve to 'Ergi Kirkin' if Ergi Kirkin advances against Arjun Mehrotra. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arjun Mehrotra and Ergi Kirkin in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arjun Mehrotra' if Arjun Mehrotra advances against Ergi Kirkin. This market will resolve to 'Ergi Kirkin' if Ergi Kirkin advances against Arjun Mehrotra. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see prediction market probabilities diverge from sportsbook implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Singapore tennis match between Arjun Mehrotra and Ergi Kirkin. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market's outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in broader public opinion regarding the players' chances could drive volatility. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics will be key to understanding potential catalysts for price changes in this market.