TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 4:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adhithya Ganesan and Ren Nakamura in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adhithya Ganesan' if Adhithya Ganesan advances against Ren Nakamura. This market will resolve to 'Ren Nakamura' if Ren Nakamura advances against Adhithya Ganesan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adhithya Ganesan and Ren Nakamura in the M15 Singapore, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adhithya Ganesan' if Adhithya Ganesan advances against Ren Nakamura. This market will resolve to 'Ren Nakamura' if Ren Nakamura advances against Adhithya Ganesan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions, and the price movements provide a real-time assessment of the event’s potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the M15 Singapore match, as reported by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Adhithya Ganesan or Ren Nakamura could also impact the odds. Furthermore, broader tennis news, such as weather forecasts for Singapore or updates on the tournament schedule, could introduce volatility. Increased trading volume, driven by new information or strategic trading activity, will also contribute to price movements in this market.