TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Lopez and Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN in the M15 Sibenik, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Lopez' if Noah Lopez advances against Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN. This market will resolve to 'Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN' if Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN advances against Noah Lopez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Lopez and Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN in the M15 Sibenik, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Lopez' if Noah Lopez advances against Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN. This market will resolve to 'Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN' if Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN advances against Noah Lopez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by real money trading. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbook odds in terms of accuracy, as they aggregate a wider range of insights. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available in this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all traders participating in the market. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the Lopez vs Van Der Meerschen match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sibenik match between Noah Lopez and Martin VAN DER MEERSCHEN, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their shareholdings in the market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also have a significant impact. Additionally, large volume trades from informed participants could quickly alter the odds. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the match outcome is key to understanding how this market might evolve leading up to Oct 10, 2026.