TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Mashtakov and Charles Bertimon in the M15 Sibenik, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Mashtakov' if Nikita Mashtakov advances against Charles Bertimon. This market will resolve to 'Charles Bertimon' if Charles Bertimon advances against Nikita Mashtakov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Mashtakov and Charles Bertimon in the M15 Sibenik, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Mashtakov' if Nikita Mashtakov advances against Charles Bertimon. This market will resolve to 'Charles Bertimon' if Charles Bertimon advances against Nikita Mashtakov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember both represent probabilities of the same underlying event.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sibenik match between Nikita Mashtakov and Charles Bertimon. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, or if the match ends in a draw. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in the M15 Sibenik tournament, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in perceived probabilities, leading to significant price movements in this market.