TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 5:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zhenxiong Dong and Man Lok Yang in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhenxiong Dong' if Zhenxiong Dong advances against Man Lok Yang. This market will resolve to 'Man Lok Yang' if Man Lok Yang advances against Zhenxiong Dong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zhenxiong Dong and Man Lok Yang in the M15 Shenzhen, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhenxiong Dong' if Zhenxiong Dong advances against Man Lok Yang. This market will resolve to 'Man Lok Yang' if Man Lok Yang advances against Zhenxiong Dong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Shenzhen M15 match. The price of each contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome being correct. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share in the potential payout if their predicted outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Shenzhen M15 match between Zhenxiong Dong and Man Lok Yang will determine the resolution. The result will be based on the official tournament results, as publicly available from recognized tennis authorities. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the market’s pricing at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Zhenxiong Dong or Man Lok Yang could also impact the odds. Furthermore, broader trends in tennis performance or even weather forecasts for Shenzhen could play a role in how this market evolves. Increased trading volume, driven by new information or strategic activity, will also contribute to price movements.